Question
By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters352
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 3%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
41.1
Community Peer Score
18.8
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Nov 22, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 22, 2021