Question
When will the FDA or EMA first approve a drug for the treatment of obesity that causes >15% weight loss?
Resolved:08 Nov 2023 12:00Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
15 Mar 2024
(28 Oct 2023 - 01 Mar 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 28 Oct 2023 | — |
| median | 15 Mar 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 01 Mar 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?08 Nov 2023 12:00
Community Baseline Score
6.8
Community Peer Score
3.2
Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 26, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 26, 2021
