Question
Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?
Total Forecasters120
Community Prediction
11%
(7% - 31%)
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2021
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
20%
If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?
63%
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
6%
Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2021
Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?
20%
If a NATO state other than the US offensively detonates a nuclear weapon before 2030, will an offensive detonation by the US also occur as part of the same conflict?
63%
Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
6%