Question

What percentage of US adults will have Diabetes (type 1 and 2) in 2032?

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Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction

13.9%

(10.6% - 16.7%)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>25%
community	10.58%	13.91%	16.66%	1.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	10.58%	—
median	13.91%	—
upper 75%	16.66%	—
Upper bound
>25%	1.3%	—

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Authors:

casens

Opened:

Nov 24, 2021

Closes:

Jun 9, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2038

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 26, 2021

Health & Pandemics

Finding that nearly 1 in 3 US children have prediabetes spurs concerns over health officials’ research methods

New York Post•Jul 11, 2025

CDC finds nearly 1 in 3 U.S. youth have prediabetes, but some experts are questioning the data

CBS•Jul 11, 2025

CDC finds nearly 1 in 3 US youth have prediabetes, but experts question scant data

•Jul 11, 2025

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