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21 forecasters
If an offensive state nuclear detonation occurs by 2050, will the first detonation be inadvertent?
21%chance
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
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Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2049
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 20, 2021
