62 forecasters

When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?

Current estimate

Feb 2051

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 19, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 21, 2021

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Britain's greenhouse gas emissions have FALLEN by 43.3% since 1990, promising analysis reveals

Daily Mail•Oct 24, 2025

Solar energy is going to power the world much sooner than you think

New Scientist•Oct 23, 2025

World Off Track to Meet Climate Goals as Paris Agreement Hits 10

Newsweek•Oct 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch