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104 forecasters

16

104 forecasters

Will the US President continue to have unrestricted authority to use nuclear weapons by 2030?

95%chance

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4 comments47 forecasters

Restrictions on US Pres War Powers by 2030

0 comments24 forecasters

First Detonation by 2050 Inadvertent

2 comments27 forecasters

U.S. Nuclear First Use After China Drops NFU

8 comments81 forecasters

Trump Declare War on Iran before 2029?

7 comments27 forecasters

Date of First Nuclear Detonation

Current estimate

1 comment21 forecasters

First detonation accidental/unauthorized?

11 comments40 forecasters

China Nuclear First Use After Renouncing NFU

0 comments53 forecasters

Total Nuclear Disarmament before 2075