🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If the Coalition wins the next Australian election, what will the Reserve Bank's cash rate target be in June 2025?

Resolved :Ambiguous0.946
1
5
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction0.946 (0.392 - 1.76)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5
...
...
...
...
0.3924
0.9464
1.76
1.1%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:
Grigfall
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Liberal National Party of Queensland
Howard Government
Reserve Bank of Australia
Coalition (Australia)
Australian Labor Party
Liberal Party of Australia
National Party of Australia
Scott Morrison

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