Question
What will be the largest single-year population decline between 2021 to 2120?
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
2.02%
(0.609% - 4.06%)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0% | 16.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.6094% | — |
| median | 2.016% | — |
| upper 75% | 4.06% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10% | 9.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2069
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2121
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2069
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2121
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2021