Question
When will the cumulative vaccination rate ratio for Black Virginians reach 1.0?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters26
Community Prediction
>6.5
(6.03 - >6.5)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 6.031 | — |
| median | >6.5 | — |
| upper 75% | >6.5 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >6.5 | 57.2% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
109.8
Community Peer Score
41.8
Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2022
Resolves:May 10, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 14, 2021
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
43%
When will the US achieve racial unemployment parity between black and white people according to BLS?
>Dec 2060
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?
92
Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2022
Resolves:May 10, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 14, 2021
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
43%
When will the US achieve racial unemployment parity between black and white people according to BLS?
>Dec 2060
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?
92