🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of the percentage of people wearing masks in Virginia on 14 January 2022?

Resolved :72.866.7
2
6
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction66.7 (62.9 - 70.8)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
62.92
66.7
70.76

What was the final result?72.8

Community Baseline Score
27.0
Community Peer Score
29.6
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3
Health & Pandemics
2021 Leaderboard
Virginia
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