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VA COVID hospitalizations peak before 1 May

Healthy Communities Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Question

A key uncertainty is the number of confirmed and probable COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia over the next few months (which includes winter) — particularly given that Virginia experienced an all-time peak in COVID-19 hospitalizations last winter, with the 7-day moving average of hospitalizations reaching 140 on 7 January 2021.

What will be Virginia’s peak 7-day moving average of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022?

This question resolves on the basis of the peak in the 7-day moving average of confirmed+probable COVID-19 hospitalizations on the VDH “Number of Hospitalizations by Date of Hospital Admission” graph on the COVID-19 cases/hospitalizations/deaths dashboard.

1 December 2021 is the first day covered by this question and 30 April 2022 is the last day covered.

Also see this related question on when this peak will be.

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