Question

When will Virginia’s pre-May 2022 peak weekly total of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations occur?

Resolved:08 Jan 2022

6 comments6

Total Forecasters30

Community Prediction

09 Jan 2022

(07 Jan 2022 - 14 Jan 2022)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	07 Jan 2022	09 Jan 2022	14 Jan 2022
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	07 Jan 2022	—
median	09 Jan 2022	—
upper 75%	14 Jan 2022	—

What was the final result?08 Jan 2022

Community Baseline Score

83.4

Community Peer Score

31.5

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Dec 1, 2021

Closes:

Apr 1, 2022

Resolves:

May 1, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 25, 2021

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

43%

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2025-2026 season?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

0.1%