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Date # VA covid cases drop to new low

Healthy Communities Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Question

A key uncertainty is when sufficient population immunity against SARS-CoV-2 will be attained in Virginia so that the number of new COVID-19 cases falls to a new low.

In Virginia, the weekly total of new cases has not been below 1015 since the week ending 14 March 2020.

When will Virginia’s weekly total of new confirmed and probable COVID-19 cases fall below 1015?

This will resolve as the date when the weekly total of new confirmed+probable cases reaches a level below 1015.0 according to the VDH “Number of Cases by Date of Symptom Onset” dashboard.

This question can close early if the 1015.0 threshold is apparently reached according to the VDH dashboard, but will not resolve until at least two weeks after the fact since it takes ~2 weeks for the cases data to no longer be volatile.

If this does not occur before 4 May 2022, this will resolve as > 4 May 2022.

27 January clarification: The last day of the week in question (Saturday) will be the date of resolution.

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