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5 comments
23 forecasters

When will total nonfarm employees in Virginia exceed 4 million?

community
07 Mar 2022
result
15 Feb 2022
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:Dec 1, 2021
Closes:Mar 1, 2022
Resolved:Mar 29, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 19, 2021
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3
Health & Pandemics
🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

How many people will work for the US federal government in November 2026?

2692 thousand people
(2587 - 2793)
2692 thousand people
(2587 - 2793)
119 forecasters

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

44% chance
34

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

2030
8%
2026
1.9%
2023
No
1 other
45 forecasters
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