9 comments
29 forecasters
When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Resolved:Jul 23, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2021
When will the WHO announce that the COVID-19 pandemic has ended?
16 Feb 2027
(14 Apr 2025 - Oct 2031)
16 Feb 2027
(14 Apr 2025 - Oct 2031)
96 forecasters
Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?
2% chance
253
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
65% chance
54