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9 comments
29 forecasters

When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?

community
04 Oct 2022
result
23 Jul 2022 10:11
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:Dec 8, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Resolved:Jul 23, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 10, 2021
Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3
Health & Pandemics
PBS NewsHour logo
WHO chief says mpox outbreak in Africa is no longer a global health emergency
PBS NewsHour•Sep 6, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will the WHO announce that the COVID-19 pandemic has ended?

16 Feb 2027
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96 forecasters

Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?

2% chance
253

Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?

65% chance
54
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