Question

[Short-fuse] What will the % per-day growth rate advantage of Omicron relative to Delta be based on information available as of 23 December?

Resolved:37
Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction
30.8
(22.7 - 39.2)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<-500.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%22.74
median30.76
upper 75%39.18
Upper bound
>1000.6%

What was the final result?37

Community Baseline Score
46.2
Community Peer Score
21.6
Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2021
Closes:Dec 13, 2021
Resolves:Mar 20, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2021