Question
[Short-fuse] What will the % per-day growth rate advantage of Omicron relative to Delta be based on information available as of 23 December?
Resolved:37Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction
30.8
(22.7 - 39.2)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<-50 | 0.2% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 22.74 | — |
median | 30.76 | — |
upper 75% | 39.18 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100 | 0.6% | — |
What was the final result?37
Community Baseline Score
46.2
Community Peer Score
21.6
Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2021
Closes:Dec 13, 2021
Resolves:Mar 20, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2021
Closes:Dec 13, 2021
Resolves:Mar 20, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2021