Question
Will the Omicron variant be more lethal than Delta?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters347
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 1%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
87.1
Community Peer Score
13.0
Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2021
Closes:Feb 1, 2022
Resolves:Jul 8, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2021
Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?
0.1%
Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?
0.1%
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
2%
Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2021
Closes:Feb 1, 2022
Resolves:Jul 8, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2021
Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?
0.1%
Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?
0.1%
Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?
2%