42 comments
348 forecasters
Will Omicron be the most dominant sequenced strain of SARS-CoV-2 on December 31, 2022?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolved:Jan 7, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 11, 2021
How many named variants of SARS-COV-2 in its first 10 years?
18 variants
(15.3 - 23.4)
18 variants
(15.3 - 23.4)
18 forecasters
Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?
44% chance
34
Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?
22% chance
47