103 forecasters

Will Tesla go bankrupt by 2020?

17%chance

17%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 17% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Oct 1, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2019

Resolved:

Dec 31, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 1, 2018

Economy & Business

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Tesla suffers huge market share loss as shoppers look to rivals... and it's only going to get worse

Daily Mail•Sep 9, 2025

Tesla's EV market share in the US falls to its lowest level in 8 years

Business Insider•Sep 9, 2025

Tesla market share in US drops to lowest since 2017 as Elon Musk pivots to robotaxis

New York Post•Sep 8, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Tesla become the largest car company in the world (by sales) before 2035?

Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?

Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026?