Question

Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU?

Resolved:No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters286

Community Prediction

(1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

3.7

Community Baseline Score

97.5

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 11, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 11, 2021

Global Trends 2022

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will Hungary leave the EU before 2030?

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

10%

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.3%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 11, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 11, 2021

Global Trends 2022

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will Hungary leave the EU before 2030?

Will any country trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

10%

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

0.3%