Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

You have been invited to co-author this question draft.

The author will submit it for review by Community Moderators when it's ready. Thanks for helping!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

Pending

This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

Submitted

This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

Hungary EU Exit Referendum in 2022

Trustworthy News Global Trends 2022

Question

Hungary joined the EU with 9 other eastern European nations after a 2003 referendum which saw 83.8% of voters in favor of joining the EU. Since then, Hungary has recieved criticism from EU leaders for a June 2021 bill which banned LGBT content in Hungarian schools. CNN journalist Luke McGee noted that Article 7, a mechanism for the EU to expel a member state, would be "very unlikely" to occur, as it requires the unanimous vote of all other member nations.

Finance Minister Mihály Varga said in April 2021 that he would vote to remain in the EU if a hypothetical referendum were held, but added

there is a chance for a new perspective on the issue. Especially if the attacks coming from Brussels become permanent because of our choices of values.

Prime Minister Viktor Orban downplayed the suggestion of leaving the EU, saying in November 2021,

We don't want to leave the EU at all, they can't get rid of us so easily [...] We want to keep our sovereignty and we don't want to find ourselves in a united states of Europe.

Will Hungary declare a referendum in 2022 to exit the EU?

This question will resolve positively if, before January 1 2023, the government of Hungary announces a date to hold a national referendum on a proposal to leave the EU. The date of the referendum may occur at any time, but the announcement must occur before 2023. The referendum need not be legally binding, only be open to Hungarian voters with a proposal whose primary purpose is to leave the EU.

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.