🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022?

Resolved :918k889k
12
24
Total Forecasters147
Community Prediction889k (848k - 919k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
<300k
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1M
...
...
...
...
...
0.1%
847.9k
888.9k
919.4k
3.6%

What was the final result?918k

Community Baseline Score
-27.8
Community Peer Score
60.5
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Global Trends 2022
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Plug-in electric vehicle
Argonne National Laboratory
United States
Plug-in electric vehicles in the United States

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