Question

What percentage of the US workforce will be musicians or writers in 2050?

Total Forecasters34
Community Prediction
0.204%
(0.102% - 0.399%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<0.01%3.0%
Quartiles
lower 25%0.1021%
median0.2044%
upper 75%0.3991%
Upper bound
>5%1.0%
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Opened:Jan 19, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2052
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 21, 2022