Question
What will be China's total fertility rate in 2031?
Total Forecasters168
Community Prediction
1.14 births/woman
(0.973 births/woman - 1.3 births/woman)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <0.5 | 1.4% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 0.9733 | — |
| median | 1.143 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.305 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2.5 | 0.2% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2022
Closes:May 17, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Aug 8, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 10, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2022
Closes:May 17, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Aug 8, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 10, 2022