Question

Will the US Supreme Court overturn Roe v. Wade before 2023?

Resolved:Yes

43 comments43

Total Forecasters264

Community Prediction

97%

(90% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 97%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

5.8

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 26, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 28, 2021

Future Perfect 2022 Series

Law

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Telehealth abortions are on the rise since Roe was overturned three years ago. See charts

USA Today•Jun 28, 2025

Open the Floodgates: SCOTUS Says South Carolina Can Defund Planned Parenthood. Will Other States Follow?

Democracy Now•Jun 27, 2025

On the anniversary of Dobbs, the state of abortion is bad—real bad

•Jun 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

54.5

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

15%

Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?

13%

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Dec 26, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 28, 2021

Future Perfect 2022 Series

Law

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Telehealth abortions are on the rise since Roe was overturned three years ago. See charts

USA Today•Jun 28, 2025

Open the Floodgates: SCOTUS Says South Carolina Can Defund Planned Parenthood. Will Other States Follow?

Democracy Now•Jun 27, 2025

On the anniversary of Dobbs, the state of abortion is bad—real bad

•Jun 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

In what percent of US States will Casey-era abortion rights be granted on May 1, 2026?

54.5

Will elective abortion be banned nationally in the United States before 2030?

15%

Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?

13%