Question
What percentage of US children under 5-years-old will have at least one dose of any COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022?
Resolved:8.81Total Forecasters65
Community Prediction
9.64
(8.15 - 11.5)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 8.15 | — |
| median | 9.641 | — |
| upper 75% | 11.49 | — |
What was the final result?8.81
Community Baseline Score
52.1
Community Peer Score
43.3
Authors:
Opened:Dec 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 30, 2021
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?
92
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
90.5
What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years?
3.48
Authors:
Opened:Dec 28, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2022
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 30, 2021
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?
92
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
90.5
What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years?
3.48