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29 comments
143 forecasters

How many seats will Democrats hold in the US Senate after 2022 midterm elections?

community
49.5
result
51
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
casens
Opened:Jan 2, 2022
Closes:Nov 8, 2022
Resolved:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 4, 2022
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
Elections
🏆 2022 Leaderboard
Breitbart logo
CNN’s Enten: Odds of Democrats Winning the House in 2026 ‘Plummeting Down’
Breitbart•Oct 16, 2025
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Democrats' Odds of Gaining Control of the House Are Sinking Fast, New Numbers Show
Red State•Oct 15, 2025
Daily Caller logo
CNN’s Harry Enten Says GOP’s Odds Of Keeping Control Of House ‘Up Like A Rocket’
Daily Caller•Oct 15, 2025
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Which party will hold a plurality in the US Senate after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republicans
68.6%
Democrats
31.3%
Other
0.1%
305 forecasters

Which party will control the US Congress following the 2026 midterm elections?

Rep Senate / Dem House
60.8%
Dem Senate / Dem House
20%
Rep Senate / Rep House
18.2%
1 other
24 forecasters

Which party will hold a plurality in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections?

Democrats
69%
Republicans
30.9%
Other
0.1%
451 forecasters
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