Question
Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters136
Community Prediction
98%
(95% - 99%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Peer Score
20.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 8, 2023
Resolves:Jan 8, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 3, 2022
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?
80%
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?
0.9%
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?
99%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 2, 2022
Closes:Jan 8, 2023
Resolves:Jan 8, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 3, 2022
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that he will not be mistreated by George Mason University through the end of 2030?
80%
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?
0.9%
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?
99%