19 comments
89 forecasters
Will there be 36 or more private fusion-energy companies in 2022?
17%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 17% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 4, 2022
Closes:Jan 31, 2023
Resolved:Feb 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 5, 2022
How many nuclear reactors will be in operation in the US on December 31, 2035?
183 reactors
(135 - 242)
183 reactors
(135 - 242)
63 forecasters
When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?
Sep 2047
(Mar 2037 - Jan 2063)
Sep 2047
(Mar 2037 - Jan 2063)
76 forecasters
When will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world's primary energy?
2077
(Sep 2057 - >2100)
2077
(Sep 2057 - >2100)
153 forecasters