Question

Will the UK authorise fourth doses of Covid vaccines for healthy adults in 2022?

Resolved:No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters107

Community Prediction

67%

(60% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 67%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-81.3

Community Peer Score

23.4

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Jan 5, 2022

Closes:

Feb 28, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 5, 2022

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

37%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

34%

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

579

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Jan 5, 2022

Closes:

Feb 28, 2022

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 5, 2022

Health & Pandemics

2022 Leaderboard

Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025?

37%

Will there be two or more COVID-19 hospitalization waves in the United States in at least one of the 2028 and 2029 respiratory disease seasons?

34%

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

579