Question

Will there be armed conflict between racial groups in South Africa before 2023?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters119
Community Prediction
32%
(20% - 44%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 32%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
25.8
Community Peer Score
31.6
Authors:
Opened:May 26, 2018
Closes:Aug 1, 2019
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2018