Question

Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any other previous significant political office?

Resolved:Yes

25 comments25

Total Forecasters174

Community Prediction

54%

(45% - 59%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 54%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

13.1

Authors:

James

Opened:

May 27, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2020

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

May 27, 2018

Elections

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

18%

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

Authors:

James

Opened:

May 27, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2020

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

May 27, 2018

Elections

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

18%

Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any *other* previous significant political office?

Make a Prediction

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

Will the first female president of the United States enter office as a Republican?

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Will a court change the winner of a 2026 election for U.S. House, Senate, or a top statewide office?

Will the winner of the 2020 US Presidential election have been elected to any other previous significant political office?