Question
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of United States primary energy consumption?
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction
Jun 2040
(Jun 2034 - May 2049)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jun 2034 | — |
| median | Jun 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | May 2049 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2099 | 7.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?
Apr 2052
Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?
75%
When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?
Nov 2052
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
When will fossil fuels make up less than 50% of global primary energy consumption?
Apr 2052
Will renewable energy have a higher energy production share in the US than combined fossil fuels and nuclear in any month before 2050?
75%
When will nuclear fusion provide at least 0.1% of the world's primary energy?
Nov 2052