11 comments
18 forecasters
How many additional Eliciting Latent Knowledge prizes will be awarded?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 30, 2022
Resolved:Mar 9, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 22, 2022
Before January 1, 2026, what will be the highest compression factor achieved for the Hutter Prize?
9.04
(9.01 - 9.07)
9.04
(9.01 - 9.07)
39 forecasters
Who will win the bet between Gary Marcus and Miles Brundage about the state of AI at the end of 2027?
76 forecasters
Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?
96 forecasters