Question
How many additional Eliciting Latent Knowledge prizes will be awarded?
Resolved:Above upper boundTotal Forecasters18
Community Prediction
11.3
(8.92 - 14.3)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 8.923 | — |
median | 11.31 | — |
upper 75% | 14.34 | — |
Upper bound | ||
>20 | 5.5% | — |
What was the final result?Above upper bound
Community Baseline Score
-22.3
Community Peer Score
60.3
Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 30, 2022
Resolves:Mar 9, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 22, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2022
Closes:Jan 30, 2022
Resolves:Mar 9, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 22, 2022