31 comments
102 forecasters
When will Boris Johnson no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
Authors:
Opened:Jan 25, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Sep 6, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 27, 2022
When will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister?
18 Apr 2029
(07 Oct 2027 - 27 Oct 2030)
18 Apr 2029
(07 Oct 2027 - 27 Oct 2030)
19 forecasters
Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026?
0.1% chance
131
Will the UK have a Conservative Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
20% chance
92