15 forecasters

When will a biological attack against crops or livestock result in at least 100 deaths or $1 billion (2021 USD) in damages?

Current estimate

Sep 2045

Key Factors

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Forecast Timeline

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 27, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2100

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2102

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 29, 2022