223 comments
681 forecasters
Will Donald Trump spend any time in jail or prison before June 30, 2028?
11%chance
This question is closed for predictions.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2018
Closed:Jun 30, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Jun 30, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 8, 2018
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Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?
1% chance
802
If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?
17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters
Will Barack Obama be arrested before July 2026?
0.1% chance
53