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223 comments
681 forecasters

Will Donald Trump spend any time in jail or prison before June 30, 2028?

11%chance

This question is closed for predictions.

Forecast Timeline
Authors:
converse
Opened:Jun 8, 2018
Closed:Jun 30, 2021
Scheduled resolution:Jun 30, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 8, 2018
Law
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
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Will Donald Trump be jailed or incarcerated before 2030?

1% chance
802

If Donald Trump is incarcerated or put under house arrest for over 30 days before 2030, what date will his confinement begin?

17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
17 Oct 2029
(01 Sep 2027 - 20 Nov 2029)
19 forecasters

Will Barack Obama be arrested before July 2026?

0.1% chance
53
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