Your submission is now in Draft mode.

Once it's ready, please submit your draft for review by our team of Community Moderators. Thank you!

Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

Pending

This content now needs to be approved by community moderators.

Submitted

This essay was submitted and is waiting for review.

VA COVID hospitalizations peak before 1 May

Healthy Communities Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Question

As the current Omicron-driven wave continues, a key uncertainty is what the peak in the number of weekly confirmed and probable COVID-19 hospitalizations in Virginia will be in the time through the end of April 2022. Virginia's all-time weekly peak in confirmed+probable hospitalizations was 976 for the week ending 9 January 2021.

What will be Virginia’s weekly peak of new confirmed and probable hospitalizations before 1 May 2022?

This question resolves on the basis of the peak in the weekly total of confirmed+probable COVID-19 hospitalizations on the VDH “Number of Hospitalizations by Date of Hospital Admission” graph on the COVID-19 cases/hospitalizations/deaths dashboard.

The week ending 4 December 2021 is the first week covered by this question and the week ending 30 April 2022 is the last week covered.

Also see this related question on when this peak will be.

28 March clarification: Since the hospitalizations dashboard has been retired, we will resolve this question using the raw data that is accessible here.

This is a re-launched version of this question.

Make a Prediction

Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.