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19
116
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11
19 comments
116 forecasters
Law
2 more...
Will Ketanji Brown Jackson be confirmed as an Associate Justice of the Supreme Court before 2023?
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Yes
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15 Jun 2027
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20%
chance
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Proportion of Q2 2026 SCOTUS decisions issued by Democratic appointee?
Current estimate
0.283
8 comments
25 forecasters
Trump SCOTUS Justices by January 21, 2029
3
16.3%
4
49%
5
27.6%
6
6.1%
7 or more
1%
11 comments
205 forecasters
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2%
chance
29 comments
132 forecasters
SCOTUS Impeachment and Removal by 2030
3.3%
chance
0 comments
22 forecasters
Will there be an unfilled Supreme Court vacancy on Jan 20, 2029?
Democratic Congress
20%
Republican Congress
7%
Split Congress
13%
5 comments
69 forecasters
SCOTUS Confirmations in 2025-2029?
2
40%
1
38%
3 or more
10%
0
10%