9 comments
60 forecasters
When will SpaceX Starship first successfully fly an external customer payload?
Current estimate
27 Sep 2026
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Authors:
Opened:Feb 22, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2022
When will SpaceX's Starship carry a human to orbit?
03 Jan 2028
(03 Dec 2026 - 23 May 2029)
03 Jan 2028
(03 Dec 2026 - 23 May 2029)
202 forecasters
When will SpaceX launch humans around the Moon?
20 Nov 2028
(13 Mar 2027 - May 2031)
20 Nov 2028
(13 Mar 2027 - May 2031)
98 forecasters
When will a reusable single-stage-to-orbit vehicle deliver a payload to orbit?
>Jan 2036
(Aug 2035 - >Jan 2036)
>Jan 2036
(Aug 2035 - >Jan 2036)
18 forecasters