3 comments
33 forecasters
When will China first successfully land people on Mars?
Current estimate
Mar 2047
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Feb 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 20, 2022
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch