Question

Will the gray wolf be relisted as Threatened or Endangered by the US before 2030?

Resolved:Yes

6 comments6

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction

64%

(52% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 64%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

0.1

Community Peer Score

-0.0

Authors:

samuelraasch casens

Opened:

Feb 7, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 9, 2022

Environment & Climate

2021-2025 Leaderboard

When will a wild grizzly bear be sighted in Colorado?

Feb 2036

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

38%

Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?

18%

Authors:

samuelraasch casens

Opened:

Feb 7, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 9, 2022

Environment & Climate

2021-2025 Leaderboard

When will a wild grizzly bear be sighted in Colorado?

Feb 2036

Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?

38%

Will the Tasmanian Tiger be brought back from extinction before 2035?

18%