133 forecasters

If Russia invades Ukraine in 2022, when will the invasion be acknowledged by Russia or the UN?

community

25 Feb 2022 10:16

result

24 Feb 2022 04:53

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 6, 2022

Closes:

Jun 29, 2022

Resolved:

Feb 24, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 8, 2022

2022 Leaderboard

Ukraine Launches Drone Barrage on Russian Oil Refinery

Newsweek•Sep 14, 2025

Russia’s Putin hails war advances; Ukraine retakes parts of Donetsk

Al Jazeera•Sep 11, 2025

Russia’s violation of Poland’s airspace is the most serious in a string of cross-border incidents

Associated Press•Sep 10, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch