Question
What will be the number of unmanned aircraft sightings (UAS) in 2022?
Resolved:1820Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction
2295
(2057 - 2653)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <1200 | 0.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2057 | — |
| median | 2295 | — |
| upper 75% | 2653 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2900 | 13.0% | — |
What was the final result?1820
Community Baseline Score
-94.9
Community Peer Score
22.7
Authors:
Opened:Feb 22, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jun 14, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Feb 22, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jun 14, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 24, 2022