🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Niger experience a coup before 2023?

Resolved :No1%
2
5
Total Forecasters42
Community Prediction1% (1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
72.2
Community Peer Score
26.5
Authors:
Ollie_Sayeed
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Guinea
Coup d'état
Burkina Faso
France
Chad
Niger
Niamey
Africa
Mohamed Bazoum

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