Question

Will more than 10,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2022?

Resolved:Yes

39 comments39

Total Forecasters387

Community Prediction

99%

(99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

36.4

Community Peer Score

31.9

Authors:

ClayGraubard

Opened:

Feb 10, 2022

Closes:

Mar 17, 2022

Resolves:

Apr 8, 2022

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 11, 2022

Geopolitics

2022 Leaderboard

24 Civilians Killed in Ukraine by Russian Strikes Says Kyiv

Breitbart•Jun 24, 2025

Russian attacks kill 18 civilians in Ukraine as Zelenskyy seeks more Western support

PBS NewsHour•Jun 24, 2025

Russian attacks kill 18 civilians in Ukraine as Zelenskyy seeks more Western help

Associated Press•Jun 24, 2025

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