Related Question on Metaculus:
From October 2021 to February 2022, Vladmir Putin mobilized an estimated 150,000 troops to the border of Ukraine. On February 21, he ordered a mission into Ukraine on "peacekeeping duties" to protect the Donetsk and Luhansk republics.
During the Russian Revolution, Russia spent as much as 189% of its GDP on military expenses, according to the Correlates of War database. During the Cold War, Russia's spending fluctuated from 13% to 36.6%, according to COW. SIPRI estimated that Russia spent 4.3% of their GDP on military in 2020.
What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022?
This question will resolve according to estimates by the Stockholm International Peace Resarch Institute for Russian spending on military in 2022, as a percentage of GDP. If SIPRI does not report this data, other sources such as the International Institute for Strategic Studies may be used.