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    US Troops in Europe on June 30, 2022

    Created by TomL on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Community prediction hidden {{qctrl.cpHiddenPeriodDurationString()}}, to be revealed on {{qctrl.question.cp_hidden_period_ends_time | dateStr}} • The hidden period counts for {{qctrl.question.cp_hidden_weight_coverage | percent}} of total coverage • {{qctrl.remainingCoverage() | percent}} coverage remaining
    Published by TomL on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}
    Ukraine Conflict

    Question

    The US currently has 90,000 troops in Europe.

    How many US troops will be in Europe on June 30, 2022?

    Counts must be reasonably expected to be right with a margin of error <25%. In case high levels of uncertainty about the true count, we need >=2 reports will resolve it based on the median of all the credible estimates. In case a range is given by any credible media source, we will take the middle of the range as their estimate. This question will resolve based on the best available information on September 1, 2022.

    Categories:
    Geopolitics – Armed Conflict
    Politics – US
    Ukraine

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